PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
xzsaBreakTheBankCORGIIprimm
Record (consensus markets)60% (3–2, n=5)45% (519–636, n=1155)62% (393–245, n=638)50% (884–897, n=1781)
Consensus PnL$2.1K$10.6M$4.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #932PM monthly #1PM monthly #68PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus43% (3 of 7 open)76% (34 of 45 open)no open consensus position62% (8 of 13 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=86, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 3 at avg 8¢, ROI +93%98% of 532 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 396 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%99% of 823 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢100% (won 100% of 3)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢0%36% (won 98% of 189)56% (won 99% of 223)41% (won 99% of 338)
Entries 50–70¢0%34% (won 99% of 183)33% (won 100% of 130)49% (won 99% of 402)
Entries 70¢ and up0%20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)5% (won 100% of 40)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.