← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| well18 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | omnibus-076daa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 48% (11876–12683, n=24559) | 45% (502–616, n=1118) | 50% (13370–13521, n=26891) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $13.4M | $11.1M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #806 | PM monthly #16 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #17 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 67% (4 of 6 open) | 70% (23 of 33 open) | 61% (11 of 18 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2 at avg 64¢, ROI +50% | 94% of 23822 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 91% of 10208 at avg 60¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2463) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 8% (won 58% of 840) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5333) | 35% (won 98% of 181) | 21% (won 86% of 2168) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 36% (won 99% of 8660) | 34% (won 99% of 176) | 38% (won 94% of 3916) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 31% (won 100% of 7366) | 20% (won 100% of 105) | 32% (won 99% of 3284) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | well18 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | omnibus-076daa |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pan Pacific Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Diana Shnaider same side · consensus Diana Shnaider | — | Diana Shnaider $27K | — | Diana Shnaider $119 |
| Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Janice Tjen same side · consensus Janice Tjen | — | Harriet Dart $5.6K | — | Harriet Dart $134 |