PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
urhfrhchj123123BreakTheBankCORGIIomnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (502–616, n=1118)63% (379–225, n=604)50% (13367–13520, n=26887)
Consensus PnL—$11.8M$4.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #797PM monthly #1PM monthly #95PM monthly #17
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position70% (23 of 33 open)0% (0 of 1 open)68% (17 of 25 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 385 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%91% of 10208 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 91% of 35)8% (won 58% of 840)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 181)56% (won 99% of 214)21% (won 86% of 2168)
Entries 50–70¢—34% (won 99% of 176)34% (won 100% of 129)38% (won 94% of 3916)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 105)2% (won 100% of 7)32% (won 99% of 3284)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketurhfrhchj123123BreakTheBankCORGIIomnibus-076daa
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus PARIVISION
——Team Liquid $1.7KPARIVISION $458
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $252K—Yes $318