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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| tnmh | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 48% (12325–13202, n=25527) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (516–628, n=1144) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $13.4M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #696 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 63% (73 of 116 open) | no open consensus position | 69% (31 of 45 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 94% of 24256 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 97% of 530 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 56% of 2507) | 0% | 10% (won 83% of 54) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 22% (won 94% of 5408) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 98% of 188) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 36% (won 99% of 8790) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 34% (won 99% of 182) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 31% (won 100% of 7551) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 106) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | tnmh | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $451K | — | — | Yes $172K |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5) same side · consensus Clippers | — | Clippers $156 | — | Clippers $78 |