PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (10–4, n=14)56% (100–79, n=179)50% (13205–13344, n=26549)
Consensus PnL—$4.4M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #966was PM monthly #11was PM monthly #373PM monthly #17
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position50% (19 of 38 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%91% of 10074 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—0%7% (won 75% of 8)8% (won 58% of 836)
Entries 30–50¢—50% (won 100% of 5)26% (won 93% of 29)21% (won 85% of 2140)
Entries 50–70¢—50% (won 100% of 5)42% (won 96% of 47)38% (won 94% of 3856)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%24% (won 96% of 27)32% (won 99% of 3242)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.