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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| stringXX | rated | CentralCasting | 0xdeff55f3132a313985035c34539e94da7b9178f8 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 46% (224–265, n=489) | 92% (45–4, n=49) | 95% (247–12, n=259) |
| Consensus PnL | — | -$1.8M | $450K | $128K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #977 | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #439 | PM monthly #620 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 41% (13 of 32 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | MLB −2 pts, n=17 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 79% of 76 at avg 53¢, ROI +24% | 98% of 5076 at avg 92¢, ROI −32% | 95% of 44 at avg 58¢, ROI +26% | 97% of 304 at avg 52¢, ROI +45% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 57% of 7) | 5% (won 75% of 268) | 0% | 6% (won 83% of 18) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 80% of 20) | 1% (won 65% of 62) | 57% (won 96% of 25) | 29% (won 97% of 88) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 76% of 37) | 2% (won 90% of 100) | 18% (won 100% of 8) | 63% (won 98% of 190) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 16% (won 100% of 12) | 92% (won 100% of 4646) | 25% (won 91% of 11) | 3% (won 100% of 8) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.