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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| stringXX | Rock.San | hi774c | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 94% (7149–462, n=7611) | 57% (3347–2538, n=5885) | 49% (7375–7754, n=15129) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $144K | $194K | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #977 | was PM monthly #998 | PM monthly #114 | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 65% (66 of 101 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=2254 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 79% of 76 at avg 53¢, ROI +24% | 94% of 6252 at avg 94¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 3066 at avg 48¢, ROI +48% | 93% of 19836 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 57% of 7) | 4% (won 6% of 268) | 7% (won 100% of 226) | 10% (won 51% of 2050) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 80% of 20) | 1% (won 33% of 83) | 55% (won 100% of 1675) | 22% (won 93% of 4398) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 76% of 37) | 2% (won 62% of 112) | 32% (won 100% of 967) | 37% (won 99% of 7331) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 16% (won 100% of 12) | 93% (won 99% of 5789) | 6% (won 99% of 198) | 31% (won 100% of 6057) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | stringXX | Rock.San | hi774c | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rams vs. Raiders opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | — | Raiders $4.7K | Rams $363 |