PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
stringXXRock.SanRN1big8betz
Record (consensus markets)no settled market94% (7149–462, n=7611)49% (7375–7754, n=15129)67% (6–3, n=9)
Consensus PnL—$144K$13.4M$76K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #977was PM monthly #998Hand-pickedPM monthly #221
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)100% (1 of 1 open)67% (66 of 99 open)20% (1 of 5 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +39 pts n=11, ROI +36%
  • Soccer +35 pts n=13, ROI +49%
  • MLB +27 pts n=17, ROI −3%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Crypto −1 pts, n=2254——
Settled positions, side won79% of 76 at avg 53¢, ROI +24%94% of 6252 at avg 94¢, ROI 0%93% of 19836 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%100% of 3 at avg 39¢, ROI +54%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 57% of 7)4% (won 6% of 268)10% (won 51% of 2050)33% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 80% of 20)1% (won 33% of 83)22% (won 93% of 4398)33% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 76% of 37)2% (won 62% of 112)37% (won 99% of 7331)33% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up16% (won 100% of 12)93% (won 99% of 5789)31% (won 100% of 6057)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketstringXXRock.SanRN1big8betz
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Real Madrid CF?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.8KYes $855
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?
same side · consensus No
Yes $3.0K——Yes $44K