PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
solanaenjoyeravo-edgeUnknownpoluyimnice
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (328–384, n=712)49% (76–78, n=154)86% (63–10, n=73)
Consensus PnL—$20K$3.3K$4.7K
Tracked asPM monthly #974was PM monthly #918was PM monthly #885was PM monthly #900
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +8 pts n=216, ROI +6%
  • MLB +10 pts n=57, ROI +6%
  • NBA +16 pts n=12, ROI +15%
  • Tennis +40 pts n=347, ROI +33%
  • Esports +43 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • NBA +27 pts n=16, ROI +29%
Weakest topicEsports −3 pts, n=70—Crypto −2 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won48% of 400 at avg 42¢, ROI +4%93% of 363 at avg 52¢, ROI +33%78% of 97 at avg 48¢, ROI +37%86% of 103 at avg 72¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢28% (won 22% of 113)15% (won 64% of 53)9% (won 67% of 9)17% (won 39% of 18)
Entries 30–50¢38% (won 46% of 152)37% (won 97% of 134)45% (won 77% of 44)9% (won 67% of 9)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 62% of 90)20% (won 96% of 71)41% (won 80% of 40)6% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up11% (won 87% of 45)29% (won 100% of 105)4% (won 100% of 4)68% (won 100% of 70)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.