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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| scootergene | NiNo999 | tradecraft | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (340–259, n=599) | 89% (446–56, n=502) | 49% (1984–2074, n=4058) | 49% (7025–7367, n=14392) |
| Consensus PnL | $69K | $9.5M | $914K | $13.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #74 | was PM monthly #985 | PM monthly #271 | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 40% (4 of 10 open) | 82% (14 of 17 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 390 at avg 55¢, ROI +10% | 90% of 502 at avg 50¢, ROI +42% | 57% of 2295 at avg 50¢, ROI +4% | 92% of 20730 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 39% of 18) | 7% (won 81% of 37) | 31% (won 10% of 712) | 10% (won 49% of 2167) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 77% of 135) | 39% (won 85% of 197) | 17% (won 46% of 401) | 22% (won 92% of 4547) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 44% (won 88% of 171) | 49% (won 94% of 244) | 18% (won 77% of 421) | 36% (won 98% of 7502) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 98% of 66) | 5% (won 96% of 24) | 33% (won 96% of 761) | 31% (won 100% of 6514) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | scootergene | NiNo999 | tradecraft | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Tereza Valentova vs Shuai Zhang opposite sides · consensus Tereza Valentova | — | — | Shuai Zhang $7 | Tereza Valentova $7.3K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $82 | No $2.4K |
| Brest: Pierre Delage vs Niels McDonald opposite sides · consensus Niels McDonald | — | — | Pierre Delage $5 | Niels McDonald $32 |