PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
sassy31535lineth88MRN1
Record (consensus markets)100% (1–0, n=1)49% (215–220, n=435)49% (659–677, n=1336)49% (9610–10110, n=19720)
Consensus PnL$1.3K$91K$528K$13.3M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #432PM monthly #832was PM monthly #629Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position44% (11 of 25 open)100% (2 of 2 open)56% (19 of 34 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——Mentions −14 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won—63% of 429 at avg 46¢, ROI +17%55% of 1257 at avg 42¢, ROI +13%93% of 20810 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—41% (won 29% of 177)27% (won 18% of 337)10% (won 53% of 2181)
Entries 30–50¢—14% (won 72% of 58)36% (won 58% of 455)22% (won 94% of 4645)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 84% of 67)30% (won 75% of 371)37% (won 99% of 7657)
Entries 70¢ and up—30% (won 94% of 127)7% (won 87% of 94)30% (won 100% of 6327)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.