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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
primmRN1vavwqevw
Record (consensus markets)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)no settled market
Consensus PnL$3.6M$14.8M—
Tracked asPM monthly #52PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #303
Sides with the consensus75% (12 of 16 open)60% (127 of 212 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%67% of 3 at avg 76¢, ROI −10%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)0%
Entries 30–50¢41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)33% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)0%
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)67% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketprimmRN1vavwqevw
Spread: UMass (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
Ball State $2.8KUMass $358—
Spread: Toledo (-27.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
Toledo $2.4KSacramento State $631—
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.9KUnder $3—
Spread: Toledo (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
Toledo $996Sacramento State $524—
Spread: Ball State (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
Ball State $762UMass $150—
Spread: Toledo (-30.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
Toledo $277Sacramento State $466—
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3.4KOver $116—
Spread: Ball State (-4.5)
same side · consensus UMass
Ball State $22Ball State $445—