Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
primmRN1ryou999
Record (consensus markets)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)35% (12–22, n=34)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$14.8M$50K
Tracked asPM monthly #48PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #764
Sides with the consensus64% (14 of 22 open)61% (138 of 226 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%39% of 33 at avg 41¢, ROI +9%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)45% (won 7% of 15)
Entries 30–50¢41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)24% (won 50% of 8)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)24% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)6% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketprimmRN1ryou999
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
Eastern Michigan $2.4KCentral Michigan $12K—
Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan $8.7KCentral Michigan $851—
Spread: UMass (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
Ball State $2.4KUMass $1.1K—
Spread: Ball State (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus UMass
UMass $1.6KBall State $191—
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.2KOver $534—
Spread: UMass (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
Ball State $793UMass $804—
Spread: Toledo (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
Toledo $589Sacramento State $794—
Spread: Toledo (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
Toledo $437Sacramento State $75—
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: O/U 37.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $191Over $54—
Spread: Ball State (-5.5)
same side · consensus Ball State
Ball State $3.0KBall State $636—
Spread: Ball State (-4.5)
same side · consensus UMass
UMass $40UMass $2.4K—
Spread: Toledo (-6.5)
same side · consensus Sacramento State
Sacramento State $252Sacramento State $507—
Spread: Toledo (-9.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
Toledo $4Toledo $471—