Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
primmRN1robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)50% (1144–1155, n=2299)47% (14379–15895, n=30274)50% (3062–3068, n=6130)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$14.8M-$545K
Tracked asPM monthly #47PM monthly #27 + pinnedPM monthly #22 + pinned
Sides with the consensus75% (3 of 4 open)52% (17 of 33 open)67% (8 of 12 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic——MLB −6 pts, n=119
Settled positions, side won99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%52% of 4813 at avg 49¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2588)13% (won 23% of 628)
Entries 30–50¢41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5673)44% (won 46% of 2128)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9163)29% (won 60% of 1403)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8536)14% (won 81% of 654)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.