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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
primmRN1Sniper85
Record (consensus markets)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)47% (14227–15735, n=29962)83% (5–1, n=6)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$14.8M$28K
Tracked asPM monthly #51PM monthly #30 + pinnedwas PM monthly #931
Sides with the consensus64% (14 of 22 open)61% (87 of 142 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 5 at avg 62¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2588)0%
Entries 30–50¢41% (won 99% of 418)22% (won 94% of 5673)20% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 99% of 504)35% (won 99% of 9163)40% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8536)40% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketprimmRN1Sniper85
South Florida vs. East Carolina
opposite sides · consensus South Florida
South Florida $31East Carolina $8.6K—
Spread: Nebraska (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Illinois
Nebraska $2.0KIllinois $279—
Virginia Tech vs. SMU: O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.1KUnder $798—
South Florida vs. East Carolina: O/U 37.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $508Over $1.4K—
Spread: South Florida (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus East Carolina
South Florida $213East Carolina $1.5K—
Spread: South Florida (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus East Carolina
South Florida $262East Carolina $709—
Spread: SMU (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus SMU
Virginia Tech $412SMU $372—
Spread: SMU (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech $381SMU $274—
Spread: SMU (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus SMU
Virginia Tech $226SMU $76—
Nebraska vs. Illinois
same side · consensus Nebraska
Nebraska $580Nebraska $8.7K—
Spread: SMU (-6.5)
same side · consensus SMU
SMU $3.4KSMU $651—
Virginia Tech vs. SMU: O/U 55.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $20Over $1.4K—
Spread: SMU (-7.5)
same side · consensus Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech $5Virginia Tech $765—
Spread: SMU (-4.5)
same side · consensus SMU
SMU $3SMU $80—