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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
otsosiusaprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)44% (4–5, n=9)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)47% (14240–15745, n=29985)
Consensus PnL$226K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #195PM monthly #50PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position61% (19 of 31 open)60% (101 of 167 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 4 at avg 55¢, ROI +47%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 100% of 1)41% (won 99% of 418)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢75% (won 100% of 3)49% (won 99% of 504)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up0%5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketotsosiusaprimmRN1
New Mexico vs. Nevada
opposite sides · consensus New Mexico
—Nevada $7.4KNew Mexico $2.4K
Spread: South Florida (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus South Florida
—South Florida $3.7KEast Carolina $3.5K
Spread: Nebraska (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Illinois
—Nebraska $2.0KIllinois $2.1K
Spread: Nebraska (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Illinois
—Nebraska $2.1KIllinois $1.4K
Nebraska vs. Illinois: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.2KUnder $1.9K
Spread: New Mexico (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus New Mexico
—Nevada $1.3KNew Mexico $1.4K
South Florida vs. East Carolina: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.3KOver $1.2K
Spread: South Florida (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus East Carolina
—South Florida $416East Carolina $1.5K
Spread: Illinois (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Illinois
—Nebraska $1.1KIllinois $727
Spread: South Florida (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus East Carolina
—South Florida $324East Carolina $1.0K
Spread: SMU (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus SMU
—Virginia Tech $381SMU $416
Spread: East Carolina (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus South Florida
—South Florida $286East Carolina $458
Spread: SMU (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus SMU
—Virginia Tech $189SMU $114
Spread: SMU (-10.5)
same side · consensus Virginia Tech
—Virginia Tech $3.5KVirginia Tech $1.7K
Spread: SMU (-6.5)
same side · consensus SMU
—SMU $2.8KSMU $1.2K
New Mexico vs. Nevada: O/U 43.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.7KOver $489
Spread: SMU (-7.5)
same side · consensus Virginia Tech
—Virginia Tech $5Virginia Tech $1.1K
Spread: Nebraska (-6.5)
same side · consensus Illinois
—Illinois $91Illinois $785
New Mexico vs. Nevada: O/U 41.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $164Over $42
Spread: SMU (-4.5)
same side · consensus SMU
—SMU $3SMU $122