PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
omnibus-076daasainttroplayRN1beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)50% (13594–13723, n=27317)71% (10–4, n=14)48% (12107–12933, n=25040)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$4.4M$13.4M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #16was PM monthly #11PM monthly #14 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus63% (12 of 19 open)no open consensus position64% (7 of 11 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 59% of 860)0%10% (won 56% of 2478)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 86% of 2252)50% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5361)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢39% (won 94% of 4102)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 99% of 8705)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up32% (won 99% of 3425)0%31% (won 100% of 7425)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketomnibus-076daasainttroplayRN1beachboy4
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
MOUZ $64K—Aurora Gaming $9.5K—
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Aurora Gaming
MOUZ $118—Aurora Gaming $6.1K—