← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| nubet | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (4–2, n=6) | 69% (43–19, n=62) | 45% (502–616, n=1118) | 48% (11934–12756, n=24690) |
| Consensus PnL | $6.3K | $5.8M | $11.1M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #970 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #17 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 68% (38 of 56 open) | 50% (34 of 68 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=91 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 57% of 211 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2478) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 35% (won 98% of 181) | 22% (won 94% of 5361) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 54% (won 52% of 114) | 34% (won 99% of 176) | 36% (won 99% of 8705) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 105) | 31% (won 100% of 7425) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | nubet | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Warriors | — | — | Warriors $45K | Timberwolves $253 |
| Spread: Pistons (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | — | — | Hornets $1.5K | Pistons $117 |