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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| northstock | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (514–627, n=1141) | 48% (12150–12996, n=25146) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $3.5M | $10.4M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #991 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 68% (27 of 40 open) | 57% (26 of 46 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2478) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 0% | 35% (won 98% of 181) | 22% (won 94% of 5361) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 34% (won 99% of 176) | 36% (won 99% of 8705) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 105) | 31% (won 100% of 7425) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | northstock | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Packers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Packers | — | — | Packers $253K | Panthers $1.4K |