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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| nigiri99 | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | visselkobe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (578–504, n=1082) | 62% (16–10, n=26) | 57% (4–3, n=7) |
| Consensus PnL | $634K | $663K | $25K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #49 | was PM monthly #70 | PM monthly #895 |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (47 of 81 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 75% of 826 at avg 53¢, ROI +13% | 94% of 16 at avg 49¢, ROI +44% | 100% of 4 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 41% of 104) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 70% of 203) | 50% (won 100% of 8) | 50% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 45% (won 78% of 370) | 38% (won 100% of 6) | 50% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 97% of 149) | 6% (won 100% of 1) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | nigiri99 | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | visselkobe |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus 49ers | 49ers $109K | Cowboys $66K | — |