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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | sainttroplay | TheWindKnowsmyName | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (886–468, n=1354) | no settled market | 70% (166–71, n=237) | 50% (19560–19625, n=39185) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.2M | — | -$96K | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #145 | — | was PM monthly #953 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (33 of 45 open) | no open consensus position | 56% (131 of 233 open) | 71% (99 of 140 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
| |
| Weakest topic | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | — | 94% of 127 at avg 68¢, ROI +28% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 15% of 168) | — | 9% (won 64% of 11) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 39% of 256) | — | 17% (won 95% of 21) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 58% of 314) | — | 14% (won 94% of 18) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 550) | — | 61% (won 99% of 77) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | sainttroplay | TheWindKnowsmyName | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2028 elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $48 | — | No $205 | — |