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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | primm | UpTheBlues | yaokan | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (993–577, n=1570) | 50% (1116–1127, n=2243) | 50% (20651–20452, n=41103) | 94% (134–8, n=142) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.8M | $3.6M | $3.1M | $21K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #96 | PM monthly #53 | PM monthly #8 | was PM monthly #990 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (50 of 73 open) | no open consensus position | 68% (30 of 44 open) | 100% (4 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% | 99% of 197 at avg 98¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 41% (won 99% of 418) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 49% (won 99% of 504) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) | 100% (won 99% of 197) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.