← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | primm | Rhabarberbarbarbar | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (1095–631, n=1726) | 50% (1244–1255, n=2499) | 59% (271–185, n=456) | 50% (26156–25782, n=51938) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.8M | $3.6M | $74K | $1.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #118 | PM monthly #56 | was PM monthly #982 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (70 of 98 open) | 68% (13 of 19 open) | 44% (4 of 9 open) | 65% (39 of 60 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | Geopolitics −8 pts, n=10 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 57% of 375 at avg 56¢, ROI +1% | 100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 18% (won 8% of 66) | 7% (won 99% of 3291) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 40% (won 45% of 151) | 18% (won 100% of 9212) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 8% (won 63% of 30) | 20% (won 100% of 9904) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 34% (won 95% of 128) | 56% (won 100% of 27970) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | primm | Rhabarberbarbarbar | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $357 | — | Yes $10 | — |