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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | primm | RadioCCOD | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) | 50% (1078–1087, n=2165) | 35% (6–11, n=17) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.2M | $3.6M | $10K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #96 | PM monthly #48 | PM monthly #855 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (33 of 45 open) | 57% (8 of 14 open) | 55% (27 of 49 open) | 61% (115 of 187 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | — | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | — | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | — | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | — | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | — | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | primm | RadioCCOD | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $8.7K | — | Central Michigan $394 |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.0K | — | Over $1.1K |
| Spread: UMass (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | Ball State $2.4K | — | UMass $831 |
| Spread: Ball State (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus UMass | — | UMass $1.6K | — | Ball State $191 |
| Spread: Toledo (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $437 | — | Sacramento State $23 |
| Spread: Toledo (-13.5) same side · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $4.3K | — | Toledo $1.3K |
| Spread: Ball State (-5.5) same side · consensus Ball State | — | Ball State $3.0K | — | Ball State $636 |
| Spread: Toledo (-9.5) same side · consensus Toledo | — | Toledo $4 | — | Toledo $1.1K |