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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | primm | RN1 | soared | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 50% (1116–1127, n=2243) | 47% (14240–15745, n=29985) | 100% (2–0, n=2) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.8M | $3.6M | $14.8M | $65K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #96 | PM monthly #50 | PM monthly #29 + pinned | PM monthly #172 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (55 of 77 open) | 62% (18 of 29 open) | 64% (55 of 86 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 2 at avg 69¢, ROI +30% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 41% (won 99% of 418) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 49% (won 99% of 504) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) | 100% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | soared |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico vs. Nevada opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | — | Nevada $7.4K | New Mexico $2.5K | — |
| Nebraska vs. Illinois: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $4.6K | Under $4.6K | — |
| Spread: South Florida (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus South Florida | — | South Florida $3.7K | East Carolina $3.5K | — |
| Spread: Nebraska (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Illinois | — | Nebraska $2.1K | Illinois $2.6K | — |
| Spread: Nebraska (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Illinois | — | Nebraska $2.0K | Illinois $2.2K | — |
| South Florida vs. East Carolina: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.3K | Over $1.2K | — |
| Spread: New Mexico (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | — | Nevada $1.3K | New Mexico $1.2K | — |
| Spread: Illinois (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Illinois | — | Nebraska $1.1K | Illinois $860 | — |
| Spread: South Florida (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus East Carolina | — | South Florida $416 | East Carolina $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Illinois (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Nebraska | — | Nebraska $752 | Illinois $874 | — |
| Spread: Illinois (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nebraska | — | Nebraska $1.1K | Illinois $330 | — |
| Spread: South Florida (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus East Carolina | — | South Florida $324 | East Carolina $971 | — |
| Spread: Arizona (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus TCU | — | Arizona $402 | TCU $438 | — |
| Nebraska vs. Illinois: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $16 | Under $566 | — |
| Spread: East Carolina (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus South Florida | — | South Florida $286 | East Carolina $61 | — |
| New Mexico vs. Nevada: O/U 43.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $1.7K | Over $272 | — |
| Spread: East Carolina (-5.5) same side · consensus South Florida | — | South Florida $4 | South Florida $1.2K | — |
| Spread: Nebraska (-6.5) same side · consensus Illinois | — | Illinois $91 | Illinois $779 | — |
| New Mexico vs. Nevada: O/U 35.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $133 | Over $77 | — |
| New Mexico vs. Nevada: O/U 41.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $164 | Over $23 | — |
| Spread: East Carolina (-2.5) same side · consensus South Florida | — | South Florida $59 | South Florida $108 | — |