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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | primm | RN1 | skadii | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (1014–591, n=1605) | 50% (1151–1158, n=2309) | 47% (14701–16266, n=30967) | 48% (181–200, n=381) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.8M | $3.6M | $14.8M | -$29K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #47 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | PM monthly #276 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (63 of 87 open) | 83% (5 of 6 open) | 58% (65 of 112 open) | 60% (3 of 5 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 46% of 363 at avg 46¢, ROI −3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 27% (won 14% of 98) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 31% (won 42% of 112) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 26% (won 66% of 96) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 16% (won 77% of 57) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | skadii |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $34K | — | Under $5.2K | — |