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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1primmRN1ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Record (consensus markets)64% (1097–630, n=1727)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)60% (7122–4708, n=11830)
Consensus PnL$4.8M$3.6M$14.8M$61K
Tracked asPM monthly #97PM monthly #55PM monthly #32 + pinnedPM monthly #509
Sides with the consensus73% (109 of 150 open)no open consensus position63% (19 of 30 open)74% (49 of 66 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNFL −8 pts, n=147———
Settled positions, side won64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%98% of 2377 at avg 62¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)7% (won 90% of 155)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)20% (won 96% of 481)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)34% (won 98% of 816)
Entries 70¢ and up44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)39% (won 100% of 925)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketndb1primmRN1ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $2.5KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $3.3KOver $10
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $1.7KOver $6
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $290——Yes $155