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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | primm | RN1 | User1244322 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (989–573, n=1562) | 50% (1105–1116, n=2221) | 47% (14165–15679, n=29844) | 79% (396–103, n=499) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.2M | $3.6M | $14.8M | -$496K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #90 | PM monthly #49 | PM monthly #30 + pinned | was PM monthly #844 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (54 of 75 open) | 60% (6 of 10 open) | 54% (44 of 82 open) | no open consensus position |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 90% of 440 at avg 68¢, ROI +18% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 7% (won 60% of 30) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 412) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 15% (won 85% of 66) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 50% (won 99% of 503) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 27% (won 87% of 119) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 51% (won 98% of 225) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | User1244322 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: James Madison (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss | — | James Madison $2.2K | Southern Miss $245 | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $4 | Jaguars $2.2K | — |
| UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.8K | Over $227 | — |
| Spread: UTSA (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic | — | Florida Atlantic $1.1K | UTSA $274 | — |
| James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $698 | Under $419 | — |
| James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 57.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $599 | Over $413 | — |
| Spread: James Madison (-16.5) same side · consensus Southern Miss | — | James Madison $450 | James Madison $95 | — |