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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1ocr7primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)63% (993–578, n=1571)57% (1106–843, n=1949)50% (1144–1155, n=2299)47% (14382–15903, n=30285)
Consensus PnL$4.8M$83K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #98PM monthly #787PM monthly #47PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus72% (59 of 82 open)0% (0 of 1 open)75% (3 of 4 open)56% (45 of 81 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNFL −8 pts, n=147———
Settled positions, side won64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%63% of 1537 at avg 58¢, ROI +3%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 14% of 187)28% (won 12% of 436)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 39% of 269)10% (won 38% of 160)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 57% of 328)15% (won 75% of 225)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up44% (won 94% of 622)47% (won 97% of 716)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketndb1ocr7primmRN1
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $31K——Under $5.6K