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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | Rhabarberbarbarbar | RN1 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) | 59% (271–185, n=456) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.6M | $74K | $14.8M | $3.7M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #114 | was PM monthly #982 | PM monthly #31 + pinned | PM monthly #74 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (73 of 100 open) | 50% (5 of 10 open) | 57% (86 of 152 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | Geopolitics −8 pts, n=10 | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 57% of 375 at avg 56¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 18% (won 8% of 66) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 40% (won 45% of 151) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 8% (won 63% of 30) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 34% (won 95% of 128) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | Rhabarberbarbarbar | RN1 | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $357 | Yes $9 | — | — |