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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| ndb1 | RN1 | SilentShark | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 47% (14240–15745, n=29985) | 60% (135–90, n=225) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.8M | $14.8M | $27K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #96 | PM monthly #29 + pinned | PM monthly #831 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (55 of 77 open) | 61% (46 of 75 open) | 40% (2 of 5 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 32% of 66 at avg 28¢, ROI +22% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) | 59% (won 23% of 39) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) | 24% (won 38% of 16) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) | 12% (won 63% of 8) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) | 5% (won 33% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | RN1 | SilentShark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $3.3K | Under $2 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $11 | Yes $9 |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | — | No $750 | No $4 |