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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| morito181 | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 70% (709–303, n=1012) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 50% (1106–1118, n=2224) | 47% (14133–15621, n=29754) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.1M | $3.2M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #112 + pinned | PM monthly #106 | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (142 of 177 open) | 74% (81 of 110 open) | no open consensus position | 59% (54 of 91 open) |
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| Weakest topic | Mentions −13 pts, n=20 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 918 at avg 70¢, ROI +4% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 22% (won 6% of 202) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 43% of 49) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 53% of 55) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 96% of 612) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | morito181 | ndb1 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $10 | No $53K | — | — |