PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
lovedudleyYYYYY999Username2133RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (2585–2638, n=5223)47% (8–9, n=17)49% (7263–7633, n=14896)
Consensus PnL—$167K$77K$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #725PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #581Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)56% (15 of 27 open)100% (9 of 9 open)59% (96 of 164 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Tennis −1 pts, n=386——
Settled positions, side won—51% of 4315 at avg 49¢, ROI 0%100% of 36 at avg 76¢, ROI −4%93% of 19633 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—14% (won 22% of 597)0%10% (won 52% of 2020)
Entries 30–50¢—43% (won 45% of 1867)6% (won 100% of 2)22% (won 93% of 4355)
Entries 50–70¢—29% (won 59% of 1253)33% (won 100% of 12)37% (won 99% of 7260)
Entries 70¢ and up—14% (won 79% of 598)61% (won 100% of 22)31% (won 100% of 5998)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketlovedudleyYYYYY999Username2133RN1
LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
opposite sides · consensus Top Esports
—G2 Esports $59KTop Esports $14K—
Spread: Pacers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Nets $64K—Pacers $6
Spread: Pacers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Nets $8.3K—Pacers $272
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $7.5K—Jazz $227