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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
longliveapplesS-Works
Record (consensus markets)60% (424–287, n=711)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$19K$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #868PM monthly #73
Sides with the consensus73% (46 of 63 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicEsports −8 pts, n=25Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won59% of 343 at avg 47¢, ROI +12%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢26% (won 28% of 88)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢33% (won 46% of 112)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 82% of 65)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up23% (won 94% of 78)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.