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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| livesportins | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (9–7, n=16) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 47% (14379–15895, n=30274) |
| Consensus PnL | -$2.5K | $4.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #982 | PM monthly #96 | PM monthly #27 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 71% (58 of 82 open) | 58% (19 of 33 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 16 at avg 48¢, ROI +8% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 69% (won 55% of 11) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 75% of 4) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | livesportins | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus No | No $19 | No $26K | — |