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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| korandnik | Debosnys | dddtrips | allen114 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 91% (1259–124, n=1383) | 58% (472–338, n=810) | 82% (163–37, n=200) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $79K | $300K | $155K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #711 | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #622 | was PM monthly #982 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 80% (37 of 46 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | Weather −6 pts, n=50 | Crypto −12 pts, n=12 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 90% of 69 at avg 62¢, ROI +31% | 91% of 1876 at avg 92¢, ROI +1% | 73% of 615 at avg 50¢, ROI +20% | 94% of 273 at avg 82¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 33% of 3) | 5% (won 9% of 92) | 29% (won 34% of 177) | 3% (won 43% of 7) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 93% of 15) | 2% (won 31% of 32) | 12% (won 67% of 76) | 3% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 33% (won 87% of 23) | 3% (won 57% of 51) | 28% (won 90% of 172) | 16% (won 87% of 45) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 41% (won 96% of 28) | 91% (won 98% of 1701) | 31% (won 95% of 190) | 78% (won 98% of 213) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.