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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| kinderSman | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 99% (402–6, n=408) | 66% (870–454, n=1324) |
| Consensus PnL | $159K | $4.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #805 | PM monthly #12 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (6 of 6 open) | 69% (25 of 36 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Tech −2 pts, n=29 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 396 at avg 98¢, ROI +2% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 100% of 4) | 20% (won 40% of 253) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 24% (won 57% of 310) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 99% (won 100% of 392) | 43% (won 93% of 544) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | kinderSman | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $16K | No $2.0M |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $5.2K | Yes $818K |