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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | primm | UpTheBlues | verifly | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 50% (1144–1155, n=2299) | 50% (20622–20404, n=41026) | 34% (131–257, n=388) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.3M | $3.6M | $3.1M | -$315K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #47 | PM monthly #8 | was PM monthly #874 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 70% (31 of 44 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Esports −1 pts, n=404 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% | 35% of 409 at avg 36¢, ROI −4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) | 32% (won 21% of 129) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) | 55% (won 41% of 225) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) | 13% (won 43% of 54) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) | 0% (won 0% of 1) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.