Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677ndb1omnibus-076daazwaaan
Record (consensus markets)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (990–573, n=1563)50% (15507–15590, n=31097)53% (123–110, n=233)
Consensus PnL$5.3M$3.2M$3.1M$571
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #105PM monthly #60was PM monthly #257
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position74% (81 of 110 open)57% (111 of 196 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139—Crypto −5 pts, n=58
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%53% of 135 at avg 52¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)8% (won 60% of 874)21% (won 3% of 29)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 87% of 2384)19% (won 19% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)38% (won 95% of 4296)28% (won 76% of 38)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 99% of 3716)31% (won 88% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677ndb1omnibus-076daazwaaan
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $11KYes $4—
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $23Yes $11