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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677ndb1omnibus-076daapelik
Record (consensus markets)53% (10–9, n=19)65% (889–469, n=1358)50% (15092–15111, n=30203)99% (4549–14, n=4563)
Consensus PnL$5.6M$4.2M$3.0M$82K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #148PM monthly #56PM monthly #425
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position73% (33 of 45 open)56% (113 of 203 open)81% (13 of 16 open)
Strongest topics
  • Finance +9 pts n=15, ROI +2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=20, ROI 0%
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%100% of 3195 at avg 100¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)8% (won 60% of 874)0% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 87% of 2384)0%
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)38% (won 95% of 4296)0% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 99% of 3716)100% (won 100% of 3191)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677ndb1omnibus-076daapelik
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: CD Tenerife O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $5Under $1.8K