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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677ndb1Newshoundomnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)45% (10–12, n=22)65% (901–484, n=1385)57% (793–595, n=1388)50% (15383–15450, n=30833)
Consensus PnL$5.3M$4.4M$40K$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #101PM monthly #910PM monthly #59
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position70% (106 of 151 open)33% (25 of 75 open)54% (69 of 128 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%72% of 984 at avg 60¢, ROI +9%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)22% (won 24% of 221)8% (won 60% of 874)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)13% (won 64% of 124)21% (won 87% of 2384)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)18% (won 76% of 174)38% (won 95% of 4296)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)47% (won 95% of 465)33% (won 99% of 3716)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677ndb1Newshoundomnibus-076daa
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1.0MYes $29—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $11K—Yes $3