Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677RN1whosay
Record (consensus markets)53% (10–9, n=19)47% (13346–14851, n=28197)58% (1087–777, n=1864)
Consensus PnL$5.6M$14.8M-$48K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #647
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position63% (25 of 40 open)50% (4 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic——Tennis −3 pts, n=691
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%58% of 2081 at avg 59¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2606)11% (won 16% of 239)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5665)26% (won 35% of 547)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9185)28% (won 58% of 583)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)32% (won 100% of 8345)34% (won 88% of 712)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677RN1whosay
Chennai Open: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Polina Kudermetova
same side · consensus Polina Kudermetova
—Polina Kudermetova $5.5KPolina Kudermetova $977