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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677Pan9Xprimm
Record (consensus markets)45% (10–12, n=22)65% (4285–2271, n=6556)50% (1120–1127, n=2247)
Consensus PnL$5.3M$21K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #2was PM monthly #979PM monthly #50
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position53% (73 of 137 open)61% (11 of 18 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 1212 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)4% (won 100% of 43)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)13% (won 100% of 156)41% (won 99% of 418)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)26% (won 100% of 310)49% (won 99% of 504)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)58% (won 100% of 703)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677Pan9Xprimm
TCU vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus TCU
—Arizona $530TCU $23K
Spread: Arizona (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus TCU
—Arizona $92TCU $4.6K
Spread: Arizona (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
—Arizona $10TCU $1.4K
TCU vs. Arizona: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $54Over $1.2K
TCU vs. Arizona: O/U 45.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $15Over $811
Spread: Arizona (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
—Arizona $10TCU $521
Spread: Arizona (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
—Arizona $20TCU $495
Spread: Arizona (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
—Arizona $150TCU $324
Spread: TCU (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
—Arizona $24TCU $1
Spread: Arizona (-2.5)
same side · consensus TCU
—TCU $37TCU $537
TCU vs. Arizona: O/U 43.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $34Over $332