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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| googleplay | guilttrip | HomeRunHazard | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (6–6, n=12) | 86% (6–1, n=7) | 54% (361–305, n=666) | 57% (37–28, n=65) |
| Consensus PnL | $423K | $13K | $444K | $440K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #807 | PM monthly #6 | PM monthly #33 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 28% (27 of 96 open) | 77% (125 of 162 open) | 57% (4 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 71% of 7 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 37 at avg 58¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 29% (won 0% of 2) | 1% (won 100% of 2) | 3% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 62) | 32% (won 100% of 12) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 83% (won 100% of 5) | 57% (won 100% of 4) | 59% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 100% of 16) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 14% (won 100% of 1) | 8% (won 100% of 15) | 22% (won 100% of 8) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | googleplay | guilttrip | HomeRunHazard | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ian Buck be the next CEO of NVIDIA? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $1.8K | — | Yes $3.5K |
| Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $52 | — | Yes $14 |