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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
googleplayHomeRunHazardllllllllloooorobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)50% (6–6, n=12)54% (361–305, n=666)47% (7–8, n=15)57% (37–28, n=65)
Consensus PnL$423K$444K-$5.0K$440K
Tracked asPM monthly #17PM monthly #6PM monthly #246PM monthly #33 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position77% (125 of 162 open)100% (2 of 2 open)57% (4 of 7 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +45 pts n=29, ROI +40%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%69% of 13 at avg 52¢, ROI +6%100% of 37 at avg 58¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢0%1% (won 100% of 2)8% (won 0% of 1)3% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 100% of 1)32% (won 100% of 62)15% (won 50% of 2)32% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 50–70¢83% (won 100% of 5)59% (won 100% of 115)69% (won 78% of 9)43% (won 100% of 16)
Entries 70¢ and up0%8% (won 100% of 15)8% (won 100% of 1)22% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketgoogleplayHomeRunHazardllllllllloooorobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Gen.G
——Gen.G $71Gen.G $88K