PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
gm-gg-gnratedtexaskidRJW1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (227–267, n=494)66% (367–187, n=554)65% (104–57, n=161)
Consensus PnL—-$1.8M$7.0M$6.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #921Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #51was PM monthly #701
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position44% (14 of 32 open)no open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +51 pts n=92, ROI +51%
  • NBA +54 pts n=13, ROI +54%
Weakest topic—MLB −2 pts, n=17College Basketball ±0 pts, n=29—
Settled positions, side won—98% of 5076 at avg 92¢, ROI −32%75% of 566 at avg 53¢, ROI +19%98% of 106 at avg 47¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 75% of 268)1% (won 0% of 3)9% (won 100% of 10)
Entries 30–50¢—1% (won 65% of 62)26% (won 68% of 148)36% (won 95% of 38)
Entries 50–70¢—2% (won 90% of 100)69% (won 78% of 392)55% (won 100% of 58)
Entries 70¢ and up—92% (won 100% of 4646)4% (won 87% of 23)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.