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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ggnwRN1BreakTheBank0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Record (consensus markets)51% (244–234, n=478)47% (13870–15347, n=29217)45% (542–652, n=1194)61% (495–321, n=816)
Consensus PnL$6.8K$14.8M$11.0M-$352K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #905PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1was PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position57% (12 of 21 open)86% (134 of 156 open)75% (6 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicSoccer −13 pts, n=24——Soccer ±0 pts, n=115
Settled positions, side won51% of 460 at avg 49¢, ROI −1%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 15% of 66)10% (won 57% of 2537)10% (won 82% of 56)15% (won 29% of 125)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 41% of 135)22% (won 94% of 5518)36% (won 98% of 198)34% (won 58% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 63% of 231)36% (won 99% of 8928)35% (won 99% of 191)43% (won 69% of 354)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 89% of 28)32% (won 100% of 7821)19% (won 100% of 107)7% (won 80% of 60)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.