Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026ndb1primmThanksGivingTurkey1001
Record (consensus markets)35% (3641–6645, n=10286)63% (990–573, n=1563)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)69% (242–108, n=350)
Consensus PnL$2.9M$3.6M$3.6M$68K
Tracked asPM monthly #129PM monthly #92PM monthly #47PM monthly #194
Sides with the consensus56% (9 of 16 open)73% (53 of 73 open)70% (7 of 10 open)82% (31 of 38 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won—64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%76% of 334 at avg 73¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)12% (won 23% of 39)
Entries 30–50¢—20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 412)11% (won 46% of 37)
Entries 50–70¢—24% (won 58% of 314)50% (won 99% of 503)9% (won 67% of 30)
Entries 70¢ and up—43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 47)68% (won 91% of 228)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026ndb1primmThanksGivingTurkey1001
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $57K—Under $3.0K—
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
UTSA $555—Florida Atlantic $41K—
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $5.2K—Over $749—
Spread: James Madison (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus James Madison
Southern Miss $256—James Madison $550—
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $87K—No $3.4K
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
Southern Miss $7—Southern Miss $32—