Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1sange772
Record (consensus markets)43% (11761–15331, n=27092)63% (1101–635, n=1736)48% (19574–21323, n=40897)60% (29–19, n=48)
Consensus PnL-$9.4M$4.6M$14.9M$35K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #109PM monthly #35 + pinnedPM monthly #780
Sides with the consensus64% (7 of 11 open)71% (67 of 95 open)55% (16 of 29 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −7 pts, n=158——
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%96% of 25 at avg 64¢, ROI +39%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)13% (won 14% of 196)10% (won 57% of 2594)4% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)18% (won 40% of 283)22% (won 94% of 5704)28% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)23% (won 58% of 348)35% (won 99% of 9204)24% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)46% (won 94% of 710)33% (won 100% of 8622)44% (won 100% of 11)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1sange772
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Over $1.7K—
Hersonissos 3: Nikita Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev
same side · consensus Adrian Andreev
Adrian Andreev $12K—Adrian Andreev $2.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360—
Hersonissos 3: Alexandre Reco vs Lorenzo Carboni
same side · consensus Lorenzo Carboni
Alexandre Reco $108—Alexandre Reco $16—