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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026joseph00677ndb1WagerWizard
Record (consensus markets)36% (3741–6739, n=10480)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (1014–591, n=1605)95% (13842–695, n=14537)
Consensus PnL$3.2M$5.3M$4.8M$104K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #3PM monthly #91PM monthly #955
Sides with the consensus67% (35 of 52 open)no open consensus position73% (67 of 92 open)67% (8 of 12 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +16 pts n=7019, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%98% of 7019 at avg 82¢, ROI +14%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)4% (won 71% of 251)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)9% (won 91% of 636)
Entries 50–70¢—65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 57% of 328)11% (won 97% of 771)
Entries 70¢ and up—18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 622)76% (won 100% of 5361)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026joseph00677ndb1WagerWizard
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $33K—Under $6.4K—
Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $246——Over $60
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $12K—Under $34K—
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)
same side · consensus SV 07 Elversberg
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund $551——BV Borussia 09 Dortmund $38